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NOAA's winter outlook does not forecast snow — here is why, what its 97% El Nino call actually predicts for your region, and where a snow answer comes from.

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Will It Snow This Winter? What NOAA's Outlook Can Tell You

https://openews.app/story/noaa-winter-outlook-2026-2027-el-nino

https://openews.app/ai-illustrations/noaa-winter-outlook-2026-2027-el-nino.jpg

Snow-covered mountain ridges under heavy grey cloud in low winter light

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Open News

Verified world news compared across independent sources. Every claim traced to where it came from, every open question stated, in two-minute reads.

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NOAA's seasonal outlook does not forecast snowfall, and the reason is built into how it measures precipitation. It gives El Nino a 97 per cent chance of lasting into spring and tilts the odds wet in the south, dry in the northwest.

Will it snow this winter? NOAA's outlook cannot say — here is what it can

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self.__VINEXT_RSC_CHUNKS__=self.__VINEXT_RSC_CHUNKS__||[];self.__VINEXT_RSC_CHUNKS__.push("22:[\"$\",\"div\",null,{\"className\":\"article-reading-flow\",\"children\":[[\"$\",\"div\",null,{\"className\":\"article-copy\",\"children\":[[\"$\",\"p\",\"0\",{\"children\":\"If you arrived here wanting to know how much snow is coming, the honest answer is that NOAA's winter outlook does not tell you, and it is not supposed to. Its precipitation maps combine rain and melted snow into a single measure and cannot say which of the two will fall in any given place. That limitation is built into the product, not an oversight in it. What the outlook does offer is a read on the odds for your region, and this year it carries an unusually confident number.\"}],[\"$\",\"p\",\"1\",{\"children\":\"The seasonal winter outlook issued by NOAA's Climate Prediction Center on 16 July carries an unusually confident number in it. Forecasters put the odds of El Niño continuing into early spring 2027 at 97 per cent, and the odds of it reaching very strong intensity between October and December at 81 per cent.\"}],[\"$\",\"p\",\"2\",{\"children\":\"El Niño is a warming of the central and eastern tropical Pacific that shifts where the jet stream sits. When it is strong, the storm track tends to run further south across North America than it otherwise would. That single mechanism explains most of what the outlook says.\"}],[\"$\",\"p\",\"3\",{\"children\":\"The regions favoured for above-normal precipitation form a band across the southern half of the country: Southern California and parts of the Sierra Nevada, Arizona, New Mexico, southern Colorado and Utah, the southern Plains, the Gulf Coast, the Southeast and the eastern United States.\"}],[\"$\",\"p\",\"4\",{\"children\":\"The regions favoured for below-normal precipitation are the mirror image, sitting to the north: the Pacific Northwest, northern Idaho, Montana, Wyoming and the northern Plains.\"}],[\"$\",\"p\",\"5\",{\"children\":\"Temperatures lean above normal across much of the West, the northern tier, the East Coast and Alaska. The central and southern interior is given equal chances of above, near or below normal, which is the outlook's way of saying the signal there is not strong enough to call.\"}],[\"$\",\"p\",\"6\",{\"children\":\"What the outlook does not say is the part most readers want, and the caveats are worth taking literally rather than skimming. It does not predict snowfall totals. Precipitation in these maps combines rain and melted snow, and the outlook cannot say which one will fall in a given place. It does not predict individual storms, which are not forecastable at this range. And a lean toward above-normal temperatures does not rule out major snowstorms or Arctic outbreaks; a warm season average and a severe cold snap are entirely compatible.\"}],[\"$\",\"p\",\"7\",{\"children\":\"One further detail is easy to miss. This particular outlook covers January through March 2027 and does not include December 2026, so the first month of what most people would call winter sits outside it.\"}],[\"$\",\"p\",\"8\",{\"children\":\"There is a further limit that applies to every seasonal outlook, not just this one. These maps express probabilities relative to a thirty-year normal, so a region shaded for above-normal precipitation is not being promised a wet winter; it is being told the odds have tilted. A season can land in the unfavoured third of the distribution without the forecast having been wrong, which is a distinction that survives poorly in headlines.\"}],[\"$\",\"p\",\"9\",{\"children\":\"The practical reading is narrow but real. A southern-shifted storm track raises the odds of a productive season for the southern half of the western mountains and raises drought and fire concerns for the Pacific Northwest and northern Rockies. Those are shifts in probability across a season, not a schedule. Anyone making a decision that depends on a particular week of weather will still be waiting on forecasts issued days ahead, not months.\"}],\"$L26\"]}],\"$L27\",\"$L28\",\"$L29\",\"$L2a\",\"$L2b\",\"$L2c\",\"$L2d\",\"$L2e\",\"$L2f\",\"$L30\",\"$L31\",\"$L32\"]}]\n23:[\"$\",\"$L33\",null,{\"articleSlug\":\"noaa-winter-outlook-2026-2027-el-nino\",\"related\":[{\"id\":88808,\"slug\":\"is-chatgpt-accurate\",\"category\":\"TECHNOLOGY\",\"title\":\"Is ChatGPT accurate? 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The global numbers say one thing, the local ones say another\",\"image\":\"https://openews.app/ai-illustrations/are-data-centers-bad-for-the-environment.jpg\",\"imageAlt\":\"High-voltage transmission lines running past a large windowless data centre building\",\"time\":\"2 days ago\",\"sources\":[\"International Energy Agency\",\"Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory\",\"Carbon Brief\",\"Our World in Data\",\"Brookings Institution\"]}]}]\n34:I[\"fff486cfbef7\",[],\"default\",1]\n3f:I[\"509d4943b772\",[],\"default\",1]\n")

self.__VINEXT_RSC_CHUNKS__=self.__VINEXT_RSC_CHUNKS__||[];self.__VINEXT_RSC_CHUNKS__.push("26:[\"$\",\"p\",\"10\",{\"children\":\"So where does a snow answer come from? For a specific storm, from National Weather Service forecasts issued days ahead — that is the range at which snowfall becomes predictable at all. For the season as a whole, it largely does not exist: seasonal snowfall forecasting has very little demonstrated skill, which is precisely why NOAA declines to publish one. Maps promising winter snowfall totals by region are going beyond what the underlying science supports, whoever is publishing them.\"}]\n27:[\"$\",\"div\",null,{\"className\":\"article-rail\",\"children\":[[\"$\",\"aside\",null,{\"className\":\"trending-discussions-aside\",\"aria-label\":\"Trending discussions\",\"children\":[[\"$\",\"header\",null,{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"i\",null,{\"children\":\"🔥\"}],[\"$\",\"div\",null,{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"h2\",null,{\"children\":\"Trending discussions\"}],[\"$\",\"p\",null,{\"children\":\"Top liked comments on this and other hot stories\"}]]}]]}],[\"$\",\"div\",null,{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"$L19\",\"1789\",{\"className\":\"discussion-highlight\",\"href\":\"/story/noaa-winter-outlook-2026-2027-el-nino\",\"children\":[[\"$\",\"$L25\",null,{\"src\":\"https://openews.app/ai-illustrations/noaa-winter-outlook-2026-2027-el-nino.jpg\",\"alt\":\"\",\"width\":96,\"height\":96,\"className\":\"$undefined\",\"sizes\":\"96px\",\"priority\":\"$undefined\"}],[\"$\",\"span\",null,{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"small\",null,{\"children\":\"SCIENCE\"}],[\"$\",\"b\",null,{\"children\":\"Will it snow this winter? NOAA's outlook cannot say — here is what it can\"}],[\"$\",\"em\",null,{\"children\":[\"“\",\"The useful thing here is seeing what is known and what is still open.\",\"”\"]}],[\"$\",\"i\",null,{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"strong\",null,{\"children\":\"Alex R.\"}],\" · \",\"1h ago\",[\"$\",\"u\",null,{\"children\":[\"♧ \",\"1.5K\"]}]]}]]}]]}],[\"$\",\"$L19\",\"88808\",{\"className\":\"discussion-highlight\",\"href\":\"/story/is-chatgpt-accurate\",\"children\":[[\"$\",\"$L25\",null,{\"src\":\"https://openews.app/ai-illustrations/is-chatgpt-accurate.jpg\",\"alt\":\"\",\"width\":96,\"height\":96,\"className\":\"$undefined\",\"sizes\":\"96px\",\"priority\":\"$undefined\"}],[\"$\",\"span\",null,{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"small\",null,{\"children\":\"TECHNOLOGY\"}],[\"$\",\"b\",null,{\"children\":\"Is ChatGPT accurate? The number everyone quotes is not its score\"}],[\"$\",\"em\",null,{\"children\":[\"“\",\"The useful thing here is seeing what is known and what is still open.\",\"”\"]}],[\"$\",\"i\",null,{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"strong\",null,{\"children\":\"Alex R.\"}],\" · \",\"2h ago\",[\"$\",\"u\",null,{\"children\":[\"♧ \",\"1.1K\"]}]]}]]}]]}],[\"$\",\"$L19\",\"78119\",{\"className\":\"discussion-highlight\",\"href\":\"/story/spokane-complex-fires-air-quality-northwest\",\"children\":[[\"$\",\"$L25\",null,{\"src\":\"https://openews.app/ai-illustrations/spokane-complex-fires-air-quality-northwest.jpg\",\"alt\":\"\",\"width\":96,\"height\":96,\"className\":\"$undefined\",\"sizes\":\"96px\",\"priority\":\"$undefined\"}],[\"$\",\"span\",null,{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"small\",null,{\"children\":\"US\"}],[\"$\",\"b\",null,{\"children\":\"Spokane's fires destroyed more than 700 structures. The smoke is now the story for five states\"}],[\"$\",\"em\",null,{\"children\":[\"“\",\"The useful thing here is seeing what is known and what is still open.\",\"”\"]}],[\"$\",\"i\",null,{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"strong\",null,{\"children\":\"Alex R.\"}],\" · \",\"3h ago\",[\"$\",\"u\",null,{\"children\":[\"♧ \",\"892\"]}]]}]]}]]}]]}],[\"$\",\"a\",null,{\"className\":\"view-more-discussions\",\"href\":\"#discussion\",\"children\":[\"View more trending discussions \",[\"$\",\"span\",null,{\"children\":\"›\"}]]}]]}],[\"$\",\"$L34\",null,{\"references\":[]}]]}]\n")

self.__VINEXT_RSC_CHUNKS__=self.__VINEXT_RSC_CHUNKS__||[];self.__VINEXT_RSC_CHUNKS__.push("28:[\"$\",\"section\",null,{\"className\":\"key-takeaways\",\"children\":[[\"$\",\"header\",null,{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"h2\",null,{\"children\":\"Key takeaways\"}],[\"$\",\"a\",null,{\"href\":\"#full-source-map\",\"children\":[\"See full context \",[\"$\",\"span\",null,{\"children\":\"→\"}]]}]]}],[\"$\",\"div\",null,{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"article\",\"NOAA gives El Nino a 97 per cent chance of persisting into spring 2027, favouring a wet south and a dry Pacific Northwest.\",{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"i\",null,{\"className\":\"green\",\"children\":\"✓\"}],[\"$\",\"div\",null,{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"span\",null,{\"children\":\"THE CORE\"}],[\"$\",\"h3\",null,{\"children\":\"NOAA gives El Nino a 97 per cent chance of persisting into spring 2027, favouring a wet south and a dry Pacific Northwest.\"}],null]}]]}],[\"$\",\"article\",\"The probability figures, regional signals and issue date come from the Climate Prediction Center's own outlook.\",{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"i\",null,{\"className\":\"violet\",\"children\":\"◎\"}],[\"$\",\"div\",null,{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"span\",null,{\"children\":\"FACTS CHECKED\"}],[\"$\",\"h3\",null,{\"children\":\"The probability figures, regional signals and issue date come from the Climate Prediction Center's own outlook.\"}],null]}]]}],[\"$\",\"article\",\"The outlook covers January to March 2027 only and says nothing about snowfall totals or individual storms.\",{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"i\",null,{\"className\":\"blue\",\"children\":\"?\"}],[\"$\",\"div\",null,{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"span\",null,{\"children\":\"WHAT'S NEXT\"}],[\"$\",\"h3\",null,{\"children\":\"The outlook covers January to March 2027 only and says nothing about snowfall totals or individual storms.\"}],null]}]]}]]}]]}]\n29:[\"$\",\"section\",null,{\"className\":\"source-map-overview\",\"children\":[[\"$\",\"header\",null,{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"h2\",null,{\"children\":\"Source 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\",[\"$\",\"span\",null,{\"children\":\"→\"}]]}]]}],[\"$\",\"div\",null,{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"article\",\"Primary\",{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"i\",null,{\"className\":\"violet\",\"children\":\"⌂\"}],[\"$\",\"span\",null,{\"children\":[\"Primary\",[\"$\",\"b\",null,{\"children\":1}]]}]]}],[\"$\",\"article\",\"Independent\",{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"i\",null,{\"className\":\"green\",\"children\":\"▤\"}],[\"$\",\"span\",null,{\"children\":[\"Independent\",[\"$\",\"b\",null,{\"children\":3}]]}]]}],[\"$\",\"article\",\"Background\",{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"i\",null,{\"className\":\"amber\",\"children\":\"♙\"}],[\"$\",\"span\",null,{\"children\":[\"Background\",[\"$\",\"b\",null,{\"children\":1}]]}]]}]]}]]}]\n2a:[\"$\",\"section\",null,{\"className\":\"evidence-summary\",\"children\":[[\"$\",\"article\",null,{\"className\":\"known\",\"children\":[[\"$\",\"h2\",null,{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"i\",null,{\"children\":\"✓\"}],\"What we know\"]}],[\"$\",\"ul\",null,{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"li\",\"NOAA's Climate Prediction Center issued the outlook on 16 July 2026, covering January to March 2027.\",{\"children\":\"NOAA's Climate Prediction Center issued the outlook on 16 July 2026, covering January to March 2027.\"}],[\"$\",\"li\",\"El Nino is given a 97 per cent chance of continuing into early spring 2027.\",{\"children\":\"El Nino is given a 97 per cent chance of continuing into early spring 2027.\"}],[\"$\",\"li\",\"There is an 81 per cent chance of very strong intensity between October and December 2026.\",{\"children\":\"There is an 81 per cent chance of very strong intensity between October and December 2026.\"}],[\"$\",\"li\",\"Above-normal precipitation is favoured across the southern tier and the eastern United States.\",{\"children\":\"Above-normal precipitation is favoured across the southern tier and the eastern United States.\"}],[\"$\",\"li\",\"Below-normal precipitation is favoured for the Pacific Northwest, northern Rockies and northern Plains.\",{\"children\":\"Below-normal precipitation is favoured for the Pacific Northwest, northern Rockies and northern Plains.\"}]]}]]}],[\"$\",\"article\",null,{\"className\":\"unclear\",\"children\":[[\"$\",\"header\",null,{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"h2\",null,{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"i\",null,{\"children\":\"?\"}],\"What remains unclear\"]}],[\"$\",\"a\",null,{\"href\":\"#full-source-map\",\"children\":\"See full context\"}]]}],[\"$\",\"ul\",null,{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"li\",\"The outlook does not forecast snowfall totals, because it cannot say whether precipitation falls as rain or snow.\",{\"children\":\"The outlook does not forecast snowfall totals, because it cannot say whether precipitation falls as rain or snow.\"}],[\"$\",\"li\",\"Individual storms are not forecastable at this range and are not part of the outlook.\",{\"children\":\"Individual storms are not forecastable at this range and are not part of the outlook.\"}],[\"$\",\"li\",\"December 2026 falls outside the period this outlook covers.\",{\"children\":\"December 2026 falls outside the period this outlook covers.\"}]]}]]}]]}]\n")

self.__VINEXT_RSC_CHUNKS__=self.__VINEXT_RSC_CHUNKS__||[];self.__VINEXT_RSC_CHUNKS__.push("2b:[\"$\",\"section\",null,{\"className\":\"claims-ledger\",\"children\":[[\"$\",\"header\",null,{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"span\",null,{\"children\":\"CLAIM LEDGER\"}],[\"$\",\"h2\",null,{\"children\":\"Every factual claim, and what supports it\"}],[\"$\",\"p\",null,{\"children\":\"Each statement in this article is listed with how it is classified and which of the sources below establish it. A verified fact is corroborated by two or more independent sources; a reported claim rests on fewer, or on a single party’s account.\"}]]}],[\"$\",\"ol\",null,{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"li\",\"c1\",{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"p\",null,{\"children\":\"NOAA's Climate Prediction Center issued a winter outlook on 16 July 2026 covering January to March 2027.\"}],[\"$\",\"div\",null,{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"span\",null,{\"className\":\"claim-type reported_claim\",\"children\":\"reported claim\"}],[\"$\",\"span\",null,{\"className\":\"claim-status verified\",\"children\":\"verified\"}],[[\"$\",\"a\",\"s1\",{\"href\":\"https://unofficialnetworks.com/2026/07/19/winter-weather-prediction-2026-2027-noaa-outlook/\",\"target\":\"_blank\",\"rel\":\"noopener noreferrer\",\"children\":\"NOAA Climate Prediction Center (via Unofficial Networks)\"}]]]}],[\"$\",\"small\",null,{\"children\":\"Issue date and scope reported by the specialist outlet.\"}]]}],[\"$\",\"li\",\"c2\",{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"p\",null,{\"children\":\"El Nino is given a 97 per cent chance of continuing into early spring 2027.\"}],[\"$\",\"div\",null,{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"span\",null,{\"className\":\"claim-type reported_claim\",\"children\":\"reported claim\"}],[\"$\",\"span\",null,{\"className\":\"claim-status verified\",\"children\":\"verified\"}],[[\"$\",\"a\",\"s1\",{\"href\":\"https://unofficialnetworks.com/2026/07/19/winter-weather-prediction-2026-2027-noaa-outlook/\",\"target\":\"_blank\",\"rel\":\"noopener noreferrer\",\"children\":\"NOAA Climate Prediction Center (via Unofficial Networks)\"}]]]}],[\"$\",\"small\",null,{\"children\":\"Probability figure from the outlook.\"}]]}],[\"$\",\"li\",\"c3\",{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"p\",null,{\"children\":\"There is an 81 per cent chance of very strong intensity between October and December 2026.\"}],[\"$\",\"div\",null,{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"span\",null,{\"className\":\"claim-type reported_claim\",\"children\":\"reported claim\"}],[\"$\",\"span\",null,{\"className\":\"claim-status verified\",\"children\":\"verified\"}],[[\"$\",\"a\",\"s1\",{\"href\":\"https://unofficialnetworks.com/2026/07/19/winter-weather-prediction-2026-2027-noaa-outlook/\",\"target\":\"_blank\",\"rel\":\"noopener noreferrer\",\"children\":\"NOAA Climate Prediction Center (via Unofficial Networks)\"}]]]}],[\"$\",\"small\",null,{\"children\":\"Probability figure from the outlook.\"}]]}],[\"$\",\"li\",\"c4\",{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"p\",null,{\"children\":\"Above-normal precipitation is favoured across the southern tier and eastern United States.\"}],[\"$\",\"div\",null,{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"span\",null,{\"className\":\"claim-type reported_claim\",\"children\":\"reported claim\"}],[\"$\",\"span\",null,{\"className\":\"claim-status verified\",\"children\":\"verified\"}],[[\"$\",\"a\",\"s1\",{\"href\":\"https://unofficialnetworks.com/2026/07/19/winter-weather-prediction-2026-2027-noaa-outlook/\",\"target\":\"_blank\",\"rel\":\"noopener noreferrer\",\"children\":\"NOAA Climate Prediction Center (via Unofficial Networks)\"}]]]}],[\"$\",\"small\",null,{\"children\":\"Regional signals listed in the outlook.\"}]]}],[\"$\",\"li\",\"c5\",{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"p\",null,{\"children\":\"Below-normal precipitation is favoured for the Pacific Northwest, northern Rockies and northern Plains.\"}],[\"$\",\"div\",null,{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"span\",null,{\"className\":\"claim-type reported_claim\",\"children\":\"reported claim\"}],[\"$\",\"span\",null,{\"className\":\"claim-status verified\",\"children\":\"verified\"}],[[\"$\",\"a\",\"s1\",{\"href\":\"https://unofficialnetworks.com/2026/07/19/winter-weather-prediction-2026-2027-noaa-outlook/\",\"target\":\"_blank\",\"rel\":\"noopener noreferrer\",\"children\":\"NOAA Climate Prediction Center (via Unofficial Networks)\"}]]]}],[\"$\",\"small\",null,{\"children\":\"Regional signals listed in the outlook.\"}]]}],[\"$\",\"li\",\"c6\",{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"p\",null,{\"children\":\"Seasonal outlooks combine rain and melted snow and do not forecast snowfall totals.\"}],[\"$\",\"div\",null,{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"span\",null,{\"className\":\"claim-type verified_fact\",\"children\":\"verified fact\"}],\"$L35\",[\"$L36\",\"$L37\",\"$L38\"]]}],\"$L39\"]}],\"$L3a\",\"$L3b\",\"$L3c\",\"$L3d\",\"$L3e\"]}]]}]\n")

self.__VINEXT_RSC_CHUNKS__=self.__VINEXT_RSC_CHUNKS__||[];self.__VINEXT_RSC_CHUNKS__.push("2c:[\"$\",\"section\",null,{\"className\":\"article-timeline\",\"children\":[[\"$\",\"header\",null,{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"span\",null,{\"children\":\"TIMELINE\"}],[\"$\",\"h2\",null,{\"children\":\"How the story developed\"}]]}],[\"$\",\"ol\",null,{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"li\",\"2026-07-15-Early season previews begin circulating.\",{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"time\",null,{\"children\":\"2026-07-15\"}],[\"$\",\"b\",null,{\"children\":\"Early season previews begin circulating.\"}]]}],[\"$\",\"li\",\"2026-07-16-NOAA's Climate Prediction Center issues the January to March 2027 outlook.\",{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"time\",null,{\"children\":\"2026-07-16\"}],[\"$\",\"b\",null,{\"children\":\"NOAA's Climate Prediction Center issues the January to March 2027 outlook.\"}]]}],[\"$\",\"li\",\"2026-10 to 12-The window in which El Nino is given an 81 per cent chance of reaching very strong intensity.\",{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"time\",null,{\"children\":\"2026-10 to 12\"}],[\"$\",\"b\",null,{\"children\":\"The window in which El Nino is given an 81 per cent chance of reaching very strong intensity.\"}]]}],[\"$\",\"li\",\"2027-01 to 03-The period the outlook actually covers.\",{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"time\",null,{\"children\":\"2027-01 to 03\"}],[\"$\",\"b\",null,{\"children\":\"The period the outlook actually covers.\"}]]}]]}]]}]\n2d:[\"$\",\"section\",null,{\"className\":\"editorial-context\",\"children\":[[\"$\",\"span\",null,{\"children\":\"EDITORIAL CONTEXT\"}],[\"$\",\"h2\",null,{\"children\":\"Why this framing matters\"}],[\"$\",\"p\",null,{\"children\":\"Seasonal outlooks are routinely reported as snow forecasts, which is precisely what they are not. The agency states plainly that its maps combine rain and melted snow and cannot resolve individual storms. This summary leads with the mechanism and the probabilities, and gives the caveats the same weight the agency does rather than burying them.\"}]]}]\n2e:[\"$\",\"$L3f\",null,{}]\n")

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self.__VINEXT_RSC_CHUNKS__=self.__VINEXT_RSC_CHUNKS__||[];self.__VINEXT_RSC_CHUNKS__.push("32:[\"$\",\"section\",null,{\"className\":\"related-stories\",\"children\":[[\"$\",\"h2\",null,{\"children\":\"Related stories and more context\"}],[\"$\",\"div\",null,{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"$L19\",\"88808\",{\"href\":\"/story/is-chatgpt-accurate\",\"children\":[[\"$\",\"$L25\",null,{\"src\":\"https://openews.app/ai-illustrations/is-chatgpt-accurate.jpg\",\"alt\":\"Printed pages fanned across a desk in raking light, one lifted with a passage marked in the margin\",\"width\":360,\"height\":225,\"className\":\"$undefined\",\"sizes\":\"$undefined\",\"priority\":\"$undefined\"}],[\"$\",\"span\",null,{\"children\":\"TECHNOLOGY\"}],[\"$\",\"h3\",null,{\"children\":\"Is ChatGPT accurate? The number everyone quotes is not its score\"}],[\"$\",\"p\",null,{\"children\":\"The widely repeated finding that 45 per cent of AI news answers contain a significant issue is an average across four assistants. 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Both are true, and the gap between them is the entire argument.\"}]]}]]}]]}]\n35:[\"$\",\"span\",null,{\"className\":\"claim-status verified\",\"children\":\"verified\"}]\n36:[\"$\",\"a\",\"s1\",{\"href\":\"https://unofficialnetworks.com/2026/07/19/winter-weather-prediction-2026-2027-noaa-outlook/\",\"target\":\"_blank\",\"rel\":\"noopener noreferrer\",\"children\":\"NOAA Climate Prediction Center (via Unofficial Networks)\"}]\n37:[\"$\",\"a\",\"s2\",{\"href\":\"https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/us-winter-outlook-warmer-and-drier-south-wetter-north\",\"target\":\"_blank\",\"rel\":\"noopener noreferrer\",\"children\":\"NOAA\"}]\n38:[\"$\",\"a\",\"s3\",{\"href\":\"https://www.cbsnews.com/news/maps-noaa-winter-forecast-2025-2026-us/\",\"target\":\"_blank\",\"rel\":\"noopener noreferrer\",\"children\":\"CBS News\"}]\n39:[\"$\",\"small\",null,{\"children\":\"Stated by the agency and echoed in independent explanations of how the maps work.\"}]\n3a:[\"$\",\"li\",\"c7\",{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"p\",null,{\"children\":\"Individual storms cannot be forecast at seasonal range.\"}],[\"$\",\"div\",null,{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"span\",null,{\"className\":\"claim-type verified_fact\",\"children\":\"verified fact\"}],[\"$\",\"span\",null,{\"className\":\"claim-status verified\",\"children\":\"verified\"}],[[\"$\",\"a\",\"s1\",{\"href\":\"https://unofficialnetworks.com/2026/07/19/winter-weather-prediction-2026-2027-noaa-outlook/\",\"target\":\"_blank\",\"rel\":\"noopener noreferrer\",\"children\":\"NOAA Climate Prediction Center (via Unofficial Networks)\"}],[\"$\",\"a\",\"s3\",{\"href\":\"https://www.cbsnews.com/news/maps-noaa-winter-forecast-2025-2026-us/\",\"target\":\"_blank\",\"rel\":\"noopener noreferrer\",\"children\":\"CBS News\"}]]]}],[\"$\",\"small\",null,{\"children\":\"Caveat stated in the outlook and in independent coverage.\"}]]}]\n3b:[\"$\",\"li\",\"c8\",{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"p\",null,{\"children\":\"A strong El Nino shifts the North American storm track southward.\"}],[\"$\",\"div\",null,{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"span\",null,{\"className\":\"claim-type analysis\",\"children\":\"analysis\"}],[\"$\",\"span\",null,{\"className\":\"claim-status verified\",\"children\":\"verified\"}],[[\"$\",\"a\",\"s1\",{\"href\":\"https://unofficialnetworks.com/2026/07/19/winter-weather-prediction-2026-2027-noaa-outlook/\",\"target\":\"_blank\",\"rel\":\"noopener noreferrer\",\"children\":\"NOAA Climate Prediction Center (via Unofficial Networks)\"}],[\"$\",\"a\",\"s4\",{\"href\":\"https://opensnow.com/news/post/2025-2026-north-america-winter-forecast-preview\",\"target\":\"_blank\",\"rel\":\"noopener noreferrer\",\"children\":\"OpenSnow\"}]]]}],[\"$\",\"small\",null,{\"children\":\"The mechanism underlying the regional signals, described in both sources.\"}]]}]\n3c:[\"$\",\"li\",\"c9\",{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"p\",null,{\"children\":\"Above-normal seasonal temperatures do not preclude major snowstorms or Arctic outbreaks.\"}],[\"$\",\"div\",null,{\"children\":[[\"$\",\"span\",null,{\"className\":\"claim-type reported_claim\",\"children\":\"reported claim\"}],[\"$\",\"span\",null,{\"className\":\"claim-status verified\",\"children\":\"verified\"}],[[\"$\",\"a\",\"s1\",{\"href\":\"https://unofficialnetworks.com/2026/07/19/winter-weather-prediction-2026-2027-noaa-outlook/\",\"target\":\"_blank\",\"rel\":\"noopener noreferrer\",\"children\":\"NOAA Climate Prediction Center (via Unofficial Networks)\"}]]]}],[\"$\",\"small\",null,{\"children\":\"Caveat stated alongside the temperature outlook.\"}]]}]\n")

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Open-Graph-Protocol

HTTP/3

HSTS

Cloudflare Bot Management

Cloudflare

Google Analytics

Google AdSense

Funding Choices

Will It Snow This Winter? What NOAA's Outlook Can Tell You | Open News

Tracking domain: fundingchoicesmessages.google.com

fundingchoicesmessages.google.com

Tracking domain: region1.google-analytics.com

region1.google-analytics.com

Tracking domain: www.googletagmanager.com

www.googletagmanager.com

Tracking domain: pagead2.googlesyndication.com

pagead2.googlesyndication.com

✅ Low Risk - https://openews.app/story/noaa-winter-outlook-2026-2027-el-nino

Requests	IP Address	Location	AS Autonomous System
24	188.114.97.3Cloudflare · WAF	United States	AS13335Cloudflare, Inc.
24	142.250.154.157Google · CDN	United States	AS15169Google LLC
48	2	-	-

Security Scan Report: openews.app

Summary

AI Security Verdict

Low Risk

Risk Factors

Safety Factors

Details

Screenshot

Page Load Overview

Language Analysis

Primary Language

Detection Details

Website Classification

Primary Category

All Detected Categories

Detected Features

Domain & IP Information

Page Statistics

Detected Technologies8

Content Similarity HashesFor malware variant detection

TLSH (Trend Micro Locality Sensitive Hash)

ssdeep (Context Triggered Piecewise Hashing)

sdhash (Similarity Digest Hashing)

Image Hashes

Perceptual Hashes

Other Hashes

Scan History